Predictions Match Details
Liga Portugal 2 · Sep 19, 2021 10:00

Nacional
PWR 66
1 - 2
FT

Casa Pia AC
PWR 23
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Nacional to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense75
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.7
Attack0
Defense65
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G1.0
Nacional Form LLLWL
DOWN
Casa Pia AC Form LL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS44%
Under 2.562%
Nacional Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Nacional
vs
1.05
Casa Pia AC
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum50%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Nacional
+16
Gap
#35
Casa Pia AC
WR 64% 29 pts WR 0% 0 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Nacional14923231029
Casa Pia AC2002020
Nacional 4.0%
May 19 Nacional v Rio Aveā€¦ 1-2
May 11 Nacional v Benfica 1-3
May 01 Nacional v Sportinā€¦ 2-0
Apr 26 Nacional v Guimaraā€¦ 1-0
Apr 22 Nacional v Tondela 2-1
Apr 11 Nacional v Santa Cā€¦ 5-1
Mar 19 Nacional v GIL Vicā€¦ 2-0
Feb 05 Nacional v Rio Aveā€¦ 0-0
Jan 25 Nacional v Benfica 1-1
Jan 21 Nacional v Guimaraā€¦ 3-1
Casa Pia AC 0.0%
Aug 01 Casa Piā€¦ v Guimaraā€¦ 0-1
Nov 25 Casa Piā€¦ v Nacional 2-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 25, 2020 Casa Pia AC 2-3 Nacional
Key Factors
Nacional struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.