Liga Portugal 2 · Feb 19, 2022 14:00

Casa Pia AC
PWR 23
1 - 0
FT

Nacional
PWR 66
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Draw expected (72% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
72%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 60%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense65
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack58
Defense75
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.7
Casa Pia AC Form LLWLL
DOWN
Nacional Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS28%
Under 2.569%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Nacional Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Casa Pia AC
vs
0.45
Nacional
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#35
Casa Pia AC
-16
Gap
#19
Nacional
WR 0% 0 pts WR 64% 29 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Casa Pia AC2002020
Nacional14923231029
Casa Pia AC 4.0%
Dec 22 Casa Pi… v Sportin… 1-2
Dec 19 Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… 0-1
Sep 19 Casa Pi… v Nacional 1-2
Aug 01 Casa Pi… v Guimara… 0-1
Nov 25 Casa Pi… v Nacional 2-3
Nacional 0.0%
Nov 28 Nacional v Rio Ave… 1-0
Sep 19 Nacional v Casa Pi… 1-2
May 19 Nacional v Rio Ave… 1-2
May 11 Nacional v Benfica 1-3
May 01 Nacional v Sportin… 2-0
Apr 26 Nacional v Guimara… 1-0
Apr 22 Nacional v Tondela 2-1
Apr 11 Nacional v Santa C… 5-1
Mar 19 Nacional v GIL Vic… 2-0
Feb 05 Nacional v Rio Ave… 0-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Sep 19, 2021 Nacional 1-2 Casa Pia AC
Nov 25, 2020 Casa Pia AC 2-3 Nacional
Key Factors
Casa Pia AC struggling (4L in last 5)
Nacional struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.