Serie A · Jul 02, 2023 19:00
Botafogo
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Botafogo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (14%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Botafogo Form
WWWWW
UP
Vasco DA Gama Form
LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS17%
Under 2.549%
Botafogo Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Botafogovs
0.20
Vasco DA GamaDecision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#8
Botafogo+5
Gap#13
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Botafogo
20.0%
| Jun 28 | Botafogo v Novoriz… | 0-1 |
| Jun 25 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Jun 11 | Botafogo v Fortale… | 2-0 |
| May 20 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| May 11 | Botafogo v Corinth… | 3-0 |
| Apr 29 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 2-0 |
| Mar 27 | Botafogo v Portugu… | 3-1 |
| Mar 26 | Botafogo v Sousa | 5-1 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Portugu… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-0 |
Vasco DA Gama
10.0%
| Jun 11 | Vasco D… v Interna… | 2-1 |
| Jun 05 | Vasco D… v Flamengo | 1-4 |
| May 07 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Apr 16 | Vasco D… v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Vasco D… v Boavista | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Vasco D… v Nova Ig… | 0-2 |
| Jan 14 | Vasco D… v Madurei… | 0-0 |
| Sep 11 | Vasco D… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Jul 31 | Vasco D… v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.