Australia Cup · Jul 30, 2025 09:30
Newcastle Jets
PWR 49
Adelaide United
PWR 27
Newcastle Jets
PWR 49
2 - 1
FT
Adelaide United
PWR 27
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Newcastle Jets to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk45%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 8%, pos gap 4
Power & Form
Attack93
Defense18
Goals/G2.7
Conc/G2.3
Attack35
Defense21
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.3
Newcastle Jets Form
DLLWL
STABLE
Adelaide United Form
LDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS68%
Under 2.529%
Newcastle J… Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Adelaide Un… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Newcastle Jetsvs
1.24
Adelaide UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Newcastle J…+4
Gap#10
Adelaide Un…
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 25% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Adelaide United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
Newcastle Jets
6.0%
| May 04 | Newcast… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Newcast… v Western… | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Newcast… v Sydney | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Newcast… v Central… | 6-0 |
| Apr 06 | Newcast… v Welling… | 1-2 |
| Mar 28 | Newcast… v Macarth… | 3-3 |
| Mar 16 | Newcast… v Western… | 2-6 |
| Mar 12 | Newcast… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Newcast… v Auckland | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Newcast… v Brisban… | 3-1 |
Adelaide United
8.0%
| May 09 | Adelaid… v Western… | 3-2 |
| Apr 26 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Apr 22 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Apr 18 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-1 |
| Apr 05 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 2-3 |
| Mar 29 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 5-3 |
| Mar 14 | Adelaid… v Macarth… | 4-5 |
| Mar 08 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 15, 2025 | Adelaide Unit… | 1-2 | Newcastle Jets |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Newcastle Jets | 0-1 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Newcastle Jets | 0-1 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Adelaide Unit… | 3-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Newcastle Jets | 2-4 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Adelaide Unit… | 0-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Newcastle Jets | 0-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Adelaide Unit… | 2-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Newcastle Jets | 1-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
Key Factors
Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.