First Division · Mar 31, 2024 14:00

AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Apoel Nicosia
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: AEK Larnaca to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AEK Larnaca Form WWDWW
STABLE
Apoel Nicosia Form LLWDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS20%
Under 2.577%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Apoel Nicos… Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
AEK Larnaca
vs
0.32
Apoel Nicosia
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AEK Larnaca
+4
Gap
#6
Apoel Nicos…
WR 70% 43 pts WR 50% 36 pts
AEK Larnaca 18.0%
Mar 17 AEK Lar… v Anortho… 0-1
Mar 09 AEK Lar… v Omonia … 0-1
Mar 04 AEK Lar… v Paris FC 1-1
Feb 25 AEK Lar… v Pafos FC 0-1
Feb 17 AEK Lar… v Anortho… 1-0
Feb 14 AEK Lar… v AEL 2-3
Feb 05 AEK Lar… v Apoel N… 2-2
Jan 22 AEK Lar… v Pafos FC 1-0
Dec 16 AEK Lar… v Ethniko… 0-3
Dec 09 AEK Lar… v Paris FC 2-1
Apoel Nicosia 10.0%
Mar 16 Apoel N… v Omonia … 0-1
Mar 10 Apoel N… v Paris FC 2-1
Mar 03 Apoel N… v Pafos FC 1-0
Feb 25 Apoel N… v Anortho… 0-0
Feb 15 Apoel N… v Paris FC 1-0
Feb 05 Apoel N… v AEK Lar… 2-2
Jan 06 Apoel N… v Anortho… 1-0
Jan 02 Apoel N… v Apollon… 2-2
Dec 23 Apoel N… v Omonia … 3-0
Dec 17 Apoel N… v Pafos FC 0-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 05, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 2-2 AEK Larnaca
Nov 05, 2023 AEK Larnaca 0-3 Apoel Nicosia
Key Factors
AEK Larnaca in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.