Bundesliga · Feb 11, 2022 19:30
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
FC Koln
PWR 46
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
3 - 1
FT
FC Koln
PWR 46
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: RB Leipzig to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
3-0 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy73%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
RB Leipzig Form
LWWLL
STABLE
FC Koln Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS74%
Under 2.530%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
FC Koln Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
RB Leipzigvs
1.43
FC KolnDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
RB Leipzig+6
Gap#10
FC Koln
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 20% 23 pts
RB Leipzig
8.0%
| Feb 05 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 3-2 |
| Jan 08 | RB Leip… v FSV Mai… | 4-1 |
| Dec 11 | RB Leip… v Borussi… | 4-1 |
| Dec 03 | RB Leip… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | RB Leip… v Bayer L… | 1-3 |
| Oct 16 | RB Leip… v SC Frei… | 1-1 |
| Sep 18 | RB Leip… v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Aug 15 | RB Leip… v FSV Mai… | 1-0 |
| May 22 | RB Leip… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | RB Leip… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
FC Koln
12.0%
| Feb 05 | FC Koln v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | FC Koln v Bayern … | 0-4 |
| Dec 14 | FC Koln v VfL Wol… | 2-3 |
| Nov 21 | FC Koln v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | FC Koln v Union B… | 2-2 |
| Oct 24 | FC Koln v Bayer L… | 2-2 |
| Sep 25 | FC Koln v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Sep 18 | FC Koln v RB Leip… | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | FC Koln v SC Frei… | 1-1 |
| Aug 22 | FC Koln v Bayern … | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 18, 2021 | FC Koln | 1-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Apr 20, 2021 | FC Koln | 2-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Dec 19, 2020 | RB Leipzig | 0-0 | FC Koln |
| Jun 01, 2020 | FC Koln | 2-4 | RB Leipzig |
Key Factors
RB Leipzig struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.