Bundesliga · Aug 13, 2022 13:30
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
FC Koln
PWR 46
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
2 - 2
FT
FC Koln
PWR 46
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
RB Leipzig Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
83%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 83%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
RB Leipzig Form
LDLLW
STABLE
FC Koln Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS56%
Under 2.544%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC Koln Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
RB Leipzigvs
1.06
FC KolnDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings71%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
RB Leipzig+4
Gap#10
FC Koln
WR 70% 36 pts
WR 20% 23 pts
RB Leipzig
6.0%
| Jul 30 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 3-5 |
| May 21 | RB Leip… v SC Frei… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | RB Leip… v Borussi… | 3-1 |
| Apr 23 | RB Leip… v Union B… | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | RB Leip… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| Apr 17 | RB Leip… v Bayer L… | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | RB Leip… v Eintrac… | 0-0 |
| Mar 05 | RB Leip… v SC Frei… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | RB Leip… v FC Koln | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 3-2 |
FC Koln
12.0%
| May 07 | FC Koln v VfL Wol… | 0-1 |
| Apr 09 | FC Koln v FSV Mai… | 3-2 |
| Apr 01 | FC Koln v Union B… | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | FC Koln v Bayer L… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | FC Koln v Eintrac… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | FC Koln v RB Leip… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | FC Koln v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | FC Koln v Bayern … | 0-4 |
| Dec 14 | FC Koln v VfL Wol… | 2-3 |
| Nov 21 | FC Koln v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 11, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 3-1 | FC Koln |
| Sep 18, 2021 | FC Koln | 1-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Apr 20, 2021 | FC Koln | 2-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Dec 19, 2020 | RB Leipzig | 0-0 | FC Koln |
| Jun 01, 2020 | FC Koln | 2-4 | RB Leipzig |
Key Factors
FC Koln in strong form (3W in last 5)
RB Leipzig struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.