Bundesliga · Oct 28, 2023 16:30
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
FC Koln
PWR 46
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
6 - 0
FT
FC Koln
PWR 46
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: RB Leipzig to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 6-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy73%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
RB Leipzig Form
DWWLW
STABLE
FC Koln Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS32%
Under 2.554%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
FC Koln Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
RB Leipzigvs
0.45
FC KolnDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
RB Leipzig+6
Gap#10
FC Koln
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 20% 23 pts
RB Leipzig
14.0%
| Sep 30 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 2-2 |
| Sep 23 | RB Leip… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| Sep 03 | RB Leip… v Union B… | 0-3 |
| Aug 19 | RB Leip… v Bayer L… | 3-2 |
| Aug 12 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 0-3 |
| Jun 03 | RB Leip… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| May 20 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 1-3 |
| May 06 | RB Leip… v SC Frei… | 0-1 |
| May 02 | RB Leip… v SC Frei… | 1-5 |
| Apr 23 | RB Leip… v Bayer L… | 2-0 |
FC Koln
2.0%
| Oct 08 | FC Koln v Bayer L… | 3-0 |
| Sep 23 | FC Koln v Werder … | 2-1 |
| Sep 03 | FC Koln v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Aug 26 | FC Koln v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| May 27 | FC Koln v Bayern … | 1-2 |
| May 20 | FC Koln v Werder … | 1-1 |
| May 05 | FC Koln v Bayer L… | 1-2 |
| Apr 29 | FC Koln v SC Frei… | 0-1 |
| Apr 15 | FC Koln v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | FC Koln v Union B… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 04, 2023 | FC Koln | 0-0 | RB Leipzig |
| Aug 13, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 2-2 | FC Koln |
| Feb 11, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 3-1 | FC Koln |
| Sep 18, 2021 | FC Koln | 1-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Apr 20, 2021 | FC Koln | 2-1 | RB Leipzig |
| Dec 19, 2020 | RB Leipzig | 0-0 | FC Koln |
| Jun 01, 2020 | FC Koln | 2-4 | RB Leipzig |
Key Factors
RB Leipzig in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Koln struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.