NPFL · Mar 09, 2026 15:00
Nasarawa United
PWR 35
Nasarawa United
PWR 35
2-0
predicted
Ikorodu City
PWR 35
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Nasarawa United Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
83%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (11%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 83%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Nasarawa United Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Ikorodu City Form
LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS15%
Under 2.573%
Nasarawa Un… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Ikorodu City Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Nasarawa Unitedvs
0.20
Ikorodu CityDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings69%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Nasarawa Un…+1
Gap#2
Ikorodu City
WR 67% 40 pts
WR 8% 39 pts
Nasarawa United
12.0%
| Feb 01 | Nasaraw… v Wikki T… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Nasaraw… v Enyimba | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nasaraw… v Abia Wa… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Nasaraw… v Niger T… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Nasaraw… v Kano Pi… | 0-1 |
| Dec 28 | Nasaraw… v Kano Pi… | 3-0 |
| Dec 23 | Nasaraw… v Barau FC | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Nasaraw… v Plateau… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Nasaraw… v Shootin… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Nasaraw… v Warri W… | 1-0 |
Ikorodu City
8.0%
| Feb 02 | Ikorodu… v Barau FC | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Ikorodu… v Shootin… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Ikorodu… v El Kane… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Ikorodu… v Kwara U… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Ikorodu… v Remo St… | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | Ikorodu… v Remo St… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | Ikorodu… v Enugu R… | 2-1 |
| Dec 15 | Ikorodu… v Katsina… | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Ikorodu… v Wikki T… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Ikorodu… v Abia Wa… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ikorodu City | 2-0 | Nasarawa Unit… |
Key Factors
Ikorodu City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.