Predictions Match Details
Friendlies Clubs · Jan 16, 2023 00:00

Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Bray Wanderers
PWR 8
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Defensor Sporting to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense30
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack23
Defense1
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G2.8
Defensor Sport… Form WDDW
STABLE
Bray Wanderers Form LWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS57%
Under 2.536%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Bray Wander… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Defensor Sport…
vs
0.97
Bray Wanderers
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#898
Defensor Sp…
+193
Gap
#1091
Bray Wander…
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Defensor Sporti…1010221
Bray Wanderers60154171
Defensor Sport… 15.0%
Nov 03 Defenso… v Progreso 3-1
Oct 26 Defenso… v Progreso 1-1
Feb 11 Defenso… v Progreso 3-3
Aug 19 Defenso… v Progreso 2-1
Bray Wanderers 6.0%
Nov 09 Bray Wa… v Moyale … 0-1
Oct 22 Bray Wa… v Karonga… 2-3
Sep 25 Bray Wa… v Waterfo… 0-3
Jul 31 Bray Wa… v Mighty … 0-0
Jul 29 Bray Wa… v Shelbou… 0-3
Jul 02 Bray Wa… v Karonga… 3-0
Jun 24 Bray Wa… v Waterfo… 1-0
May 06 Bray Wa… v Waterfo… 1-4
Apr 09 Bray Wa… v Moyale … 0-1
Apr 03 Bray Wa… v Mighty … 0-0
Key Factors
Bray Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.