Predictions Match Details
Primera División - Apertura · Apr 28, 2024 23:30

Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Wanderers
PWR 35
54% H 23% D 23% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Defensor Sporting to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Defensor Sport… Form LWWLL
STABLE
Wanderers Form LLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS15%
Under 2.570%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Wanderers Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Defensor Sport…
vs
0.20
Wanderers
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Defensor Sp…
-1
Gap
#4
Wanderers
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Defensor Sport… 8.0%
Apr 10 Defenso… v River P… 2-1
Mar 14 Defenso… v Danubio 1-0
Feb 29 Defenso… v Plaza C… 0-1
Jan 31 Defenso… v Peñarol… 1-0
Dec 07 Defenso… v Danubio 0-2
Dec 04 Defenso… v Club Na… 1-0
Nov 30 Defenso… v River P… 0-1
Nov 25 Defenso… v Deporti… 2-1
Nov 20 Defenso… v Boston … 2-0
Nov 15 Defenso… v Cerrito 1-1
Wanderers 3.3%
Aug 25 Wandere… v Defenso… 3-0
Jun 18 Wandere… v Defenso… 2-0
Feb 13 Wandere… v Defenso… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Aug 25, 2023 Defensor Spor… 3-0 Wanderers
Jun 18, 2023 Defensor Spor… 2-0 Wanderers
Feb 13, 2023 Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Spor…
Key Factors
Defensor Sporting struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.