Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Sep 24, 2022 22:00

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
0 - 1
FT

Atletico Torque
PWR 54
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Peñarol Montevideo to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack56
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Peñarol Montev… Form DDLWW
STABLE
Atletico Torque Form WWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS53%
Under 2.535%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Atletico To… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.81
Atletico Torque
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…
+5
Gap
#6
Atletico To…
WR 60% 122 pts WR 48% 45 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Peñarol Montevi…603614109549122
Atletico Torque271368433245
Peñarol Montev… 12.0%
Aug 08 Peñarol… v Albion … 1-1
Jul 19 Peñarol… v Albion … 0-0
Jun 12 Peñarol… v Atletic… 1-2
Apr 23 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-1
Feb 13 Peñarol… v Albion … 4-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Atletic… 3-1
Atletico Torque 12.0%
Jul 31 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-2
Jun 12 Atletic… v Peñarol… 1-2
Apr 23 Atletic… v Peñarol… 0-1
Feb 05 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-1
Nov 29 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-1
Oct 20 Atletic… v Peñarol… 3-1
Aug 15 Atletic… v Cerro L… 3-0
Mar 01 Atletic… v Cerro L… 0-0
Sep 04 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Jun 12, 2022 Peñarol Monte… 1-2 Atletico Torq…
Apr 23, 2022 Atletico Torq… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Oct 20, 2021 Peñarol Monte… 3-1 Atletico Torq…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.