Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Sep 24, 2022 22:00

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62

Atletico Torque
PWR 54

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
0 - 1
FT

Atletico Torque
PWR 54
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Peñarol Montevideo to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack56
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Peñarol Montev… Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Atletico Torque Form
WWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS53%
Under 2.535%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Atletico To… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.81
Atletico TorqueDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+5
Gap#6
Atletico To…
WR 60% 122 pts
WR 48% 45 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
| Atletico Torque | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 32 | 45 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Aug 08 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-0 |
| Jun 12 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 4-0 |
| Oct 20 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 3-1 |
Atletico Torque
12.0%
| Jul 31 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 1-2 |
| Jun 12 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Aug 15 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 0-0 |
| Sep 04 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 12, 2022 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-2 | Atletico Torq… |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Atletico Torq… | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-1 | Atletico Torq… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.