Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 12, 2023 23:00

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Atletico Torque
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Peñarol Montevideo to win (65% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
65%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form WLLDD
STABLE
Atletico Torque Form WWWLD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS41%
Under 2.559%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Atletico To… Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.73
Atletico Torque
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Peñarol Mon…
+5
Gap
#15
Atletico To…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Peñarol Montev… 8.0%
Feb 20 Peñarol… v Boston … 1-0
Oct 12 Peñarol… v Boston … 2-1
Sep 24 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-1
Aug 08 Peñarol… v Albion … 1-1
Jul 19 Peñarol… v Albion … 0-0
Jun 12 Peñarol… v Atletic… 1-2
Apr 23 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-1
Feb 13 Peñarol… v Albion … 4-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Atletic… 3-1
Atletico Torque 14.0%
Sep 24 Atletic… v Peñarol… 0-1
Jul 31 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-2
Jun 12 Atletic… v Peñarol… 1-2
Apr 23 Atletic… v Peñarol… 0-1
Feb 05 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-1
Nov 29 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-1
Oct 20 Atletic… v Peñarol… 3-1
Aug 15 Atletic… v Cerro L… 3-0
Mar 01 Atletic… v Cerro L… 0-0
Sep 04 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 24, 2022 Peñarol Monte… 0-1 Atletico Torq…
Jun 12, 2022 Peñarol Monte… 1-2 Atletico Torq…
Apr 23, 2022 Atletico Torq… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Oct 20, 2021 Peñarol Monte… 3-1 Atletico Torq…
Key Factors
Atletico Torque in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.