Primera División - Apertura · May 17, 2025 23:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Atletico Torque
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Atletico Torque
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Prediction
6-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-0 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
LLWLD
DOWN
Atletico Torque Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS69%
Under 2.532%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Atletico To… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.96
Peñarol Montev…vs
1.23
Atletico TorqueDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Peñarol Mon…+13
Gap#15
Atletico To…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Peñarol Montev…
6.0%
| Mar 12 | Peñarol… v Inter C… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Peñarol… v Jeuness… | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Peñarol… v Étoile … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 1-3 |
| Nov 27 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 1-5 |
| Nov 26 | Peñarol… v Rampla … | 0-1 |
| Nov 17 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 2-0 |
Atletico Torque
8.0%
| Mar 25 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Atletic… v Uruguay… | 1-3 |
| Nov 23 | Atletic… v Club Na… | 4-0 |
| Nov 19 | Atletic… v Uruguay… | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | Atletic… v Rentist… | 0-5 |
| Nov 10 | Atletic… v Cooper | 4-2 |
| Nov 01 | Atletic… v Tacuare… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Atletic… v Plaza C… | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | Atletic… v Oriental | 0-1 |
| Oct 07 | Atletic… v Cerrito | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Apr 17, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-3 | Atletico Torq… |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Atletico Torq… | 2-3 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 03, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Atletico Torq… |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-2 | Atletico Torq… |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-1 | Atletico Torq… |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-2 | Atletico Torq… |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Atletico Torq… | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-1 | Atletico Torq… |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.