FA Cup · Dec 04, 2021 15:00

Brighton
PWR 36
1 - 2
FT

Port Vale
PWR 28
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Brighton Form DWLWL
STABLE
Port Vale Form DDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS25%
Under 2.578%
Brighton Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Port Vale Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Brighton
vs
0.47
Port Vale
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Brighton
+3
Gap
#12
Port Vale
WR 67% 14 pts WR 57% 13 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Brighton642012314
Port Vale74129713
Brighton 10.0%
Dec 01 Brighton v West Br… 1-1
Nov 27 Brighton v Doncast… 2-0
Nov 20 Brighton v Aston V… 2-0
Nov 09 Brighton v Wycombe 0-5
Oct 30 Brighton v Wigan 2-0
Oct 30 Brighton v Liverpo… 2-2
Oct 23 Brighton v Manches… 1-4
Oct 09 Brighton v Plymouth 2-1
Oct 02 Brighton v Arsenal 0-0
Sep 27 Brighton v Crystal… 1-1
Port Vale 8.0%
Nov 13 Port Va… v Brentfo… 1-1
Oct 19 Port Va… v Mansfie… 1-1
Oct 02 Port Va… v Leyton … 3-2
Aug 31 Port Va… v Bolton 3-2
Aug 07 Port Va… v Northam… 1-0
Jul 13 Port Va… v Fleetwo… 1-0
May 08 Port Va… v Mansfie… 0-3
Apr 24 Port Va… v Brentfo… 2-1
Apr 02 Port Va… v Exeter … 1-0
Mar 13 Port Va… v Bolton 0-1
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.