FA Cup · Dec 04, 2021 15:00

Brighton
PWR 36

Port Vale
PWR 28

Brighton
PWR 36
1 - 2
FT

Port Vale
PWR 28
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Brighton Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Port Vale Form
DDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS25%
Under 2.578%
Brighton Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Port Vale Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Brightonvs
0.47
Port ValeDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Brighton+3
Gap#12
Port Vale
WR 67% 14 pts
WR 57% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| Port Vale | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
Brighton
10.0%
| Dec 01 | Brighton v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Brighton v Doncast… | 2-0 |
| Nov 20 | Brighton v Aston V… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Brighton v Wycombe | 0-5 |
| Oct 30 | Brighton v Wigan | 2-0 |
| Oct 30 | Brighton v Liverpo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 23 | Brighton v Manches… | 1-4 |
| Oct 09 | Brighton v Plymouth | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | Brighton v Arsenal | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Brighton v Crystal… | 1-1 |
Port Vale
8.0%
| Nov 13 | Port Va… v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Port Va… v Mansfie… | 1-1 |
| Oct 02 | Port Va… v Leyton … | 3-2 |
| Aug 31 | Port Va… v Bolton | 3-2 |
| Aug 07 | Port Va… v Northam… | 1-0 |
| Jul 13 | Port Va… v Fleetwo… | 1-0 |
| May 08 | Port Va… v Mansfie… | 0-3 |
| Apr 24 | Port Va… v Brentfo… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Port Va… v Exeter … | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Port Va… v Bolton | 0-1 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.