Predictions Match Details
League One · Sep 19, 2023 18:45

Port Vale
PWR 28
2 - 3
FT

Brighton
PWR 36
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Port Vale Form WDWLL
STABLE
Brighton Form WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS64%
Under 2.535%
Port Vale Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Brighton Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Port Vale
vs
1.23
Brighton
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#23
Port Vale
-12
Gap
#11
Brighton
WR 22% 64 pts WR 29% 102 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Port Vale721616406011164
Brighton9126244195121102
Port Vale 10.0%
Sep 16 Port Va… v Northam… 1-0
Aug 15 Port Va… v Blackpo… 0-0
Aug 08 Port Va… v Fleetwo… 3-2
Aug 05 Port Va… v Burnley 7-0
May 07 Port Va… v Plymouth 1-3
Apr 22 Port Va… v Bristol… 2-0
Apr 15 Port Va… v Lincoln 3-2
Mar 18 Port Va… v Brighton 2-3
Mar 11 Port Va… v Fleetwo… 1-1
Feb 25 Port Va… v Bolton 2-1
Brighton 8.0%
Sep 16 Brighton v Manches… 1-3
Sep 02 Brighton v Exeter … 0-1
Aug 26 Brighton v West Br… 1-3
Aug 26 Brighton v Bolton 1-1
Aug 19 Brighton v Wycombe 0-0
Aug 05 Brighton v Blackpo… 2-0
Jul 26 Brighton v Brentfo… 0-2
Jul 18 Brighton v Crawley… 2-2
May 28 Brighton v Aston V… 2-1
May 24 Brighton v Manches… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 18, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Aug 20, 2022 Brighton 0-2 Port Vale
Dec 04, 2021 Brighton 1-2 Port Vale
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.