Predictions Match Details
FA Cup · Nov 04, 2023 15:00

Port Vale
PWR 28
0 - 0
FT

Brighton
PWR 36
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Port Vale Form WLLLL
STABLE
Brighton Form DDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS51%
Under 2.550%
Port Vale Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Brighton Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Port Vale
vs
0.94
Brighton
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Port Vale
-3
Gap
#9
Brighton
WR 57% 13 pts WR 67% 14 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Port Vale74129713
Brighton642012314
Port Vale 4.0%
Oct 31 Port Va… v Mansfie… 0-1
Oct 24 Port Va… v Peterbo… 0-1
Oct 03 Port Va… v Bristol… 3-0
Sep 30 Port Va… v Bolton 0-1
Sep 19 Port Va… v Brighton 2-3
Sep 16 Port Va… v Northam… 1-0
Aug 15 Port Va… v Blackpo… 0-0
Aug 08 Port Va… v Fleetwo… 3-2
Aug 05 Port Va… v Burnley 7-0
May 07 Port Va… v Plymouth 1-3
Brighton 10.0%
Oct 29 Brighton v Fulham 1-1
Oct 28 Brighton v Leyton … 0-0
Oct 21 Brighton v Manches… 2-1
Oct 14 Brighton v Lincoln 0-1
Oct 08 Brighton v Liverpo… 2-2
Oct 03 Brighton v Wigan 2-1
Sep 30 Brighton v Aston V… 6-1
Sep 30 Brighton v Reading… 0-0
Sep 24 Brighton v Bournem… 3-1
Sep 19 Brighton v Port Va… 2-3
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 19, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Mar 18, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Aug 20, 2022 Brighton 0-2 Port Vale
Dec 04, 2021 Brighton 1-2 Port Vale
Key Factors
Port Vale struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.