FA Cup · Nov 14, 2023 19:45
Brighton
PWR 36
Port Vale
PWR 28
Brighton
PWR 36
0 - 2
FT
Port Vale
PWR 28
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%)
1-0 (29%)
2-0 (14%)
0-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Brighton Form
LLDDD
DOWN
Port Vale Form
DDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS13%
Under 2.588%
Brighton Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Port Vale Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Brightonvs
0.24
Port ValeDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Brighton+3
Gap#12
Port Vale
WR 67% 14 pts
WR 57% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| Port Vale | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
Brighton
6.0%
| Nov 11 | Brighton v Northam… | 2-0 |
| Nov 07 | Brighton v Doncast… | 2-1 |
| Nov 04 | Brighton v Port Va… | 0-0 |
| Nov 04 | Brighton v Everton | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Brighton v Fulham | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Brighton v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Oct 21 | Brighton v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | Brighton v Lincoln | 0-1 |
| Oct 08 | Brighton v Liverpo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 03 | Brighton v Wigan | 2-1 |
Port Vale
8.0%
| Nov 11 | Port Va… v Lincoln | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | Port Va… v Brighton | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Port Va… v Mansfie… | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | Port Va… v Peterbo… | 0-1 |
| Oct 03 | Port Va… v Bristol… | 3-0 |
| Sep 30 | Port Va… v Bolton | 0-1 |
| Sep 19 | Port Va… v Brighton | 2-3 |
| Sep 16 | Port Va… v Northam… | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | Port Va… v Blackpo… | 0-0 |
| Aug 08 | Port Va… v Fleetwo… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 04, 2023 | Port Vale | 0-0 | Brighton |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Port Vale | 2-3 | Brighton |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Port Vale | 2-3 | Brighton |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Brighton | 0-2 | Port Vale |
| Dec 04, 2021 | Brighton | 1-2 | Port Vale |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.