Predictions Match Details
League One · Mar 23, 2024 15:00

Brighton
PWR 36
0 - 1
FT

Port Vale
PWR 28
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Brighton to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Brighton Form LWWWL
STABLE
Port Vale Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS12%
Under 2.585%
Brighton Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Port Vale Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Brighton
vs
0.20
Port Vale
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Brighton
+12
Gap
#23
Port Vale
WR 29% 102 pts WR 22% 64 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Brighton9126244195121102
Port Vale721616406011164
Brighton 12.0%
Mar 16 Brighton v Exeter … 1-0
Mar 14 Brighton v AS Roma 1-0
Mar 10 Brighton v Notting… 1-0
Mar 10 Brighton v Notting… 1-0
Mar 07 Brighton v AS Roma 4-0
Mar 02 Brighton v Fulham 3-0
Mar 02 Brighton v Fulham 3-0
Feb 24 Brighton v Northam… 0-2
Feb 24 Brighton v Everton 1-1
Feb 24 Brighton v Everton 1-1
Port Vale 4.0%
Mar 16 Port Va… v Oxford … 0-2
Mar 12 Port Va… v Leyton … 0-0
Mar 12 Port Va… v Leyton … 0-0
Mar 09 Port Va… v Shrewsb… 1-2
Mar 02 Port Va… v Derby 3-0
Feb 27 Port Va… v Fleetwo… 2-2
Feb 27 Port Va… v Fleetwo… 2-2
Feb 24 Port Va… v Lincoln 0-2
Feb 24 Port Va… v Lincoln 0-2
Feb 20 Port Va… v Reading… 2-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Nov 14, 2023 Brighton 0-2 Port Vale
Nov 04, 2023 Port Vale 0-0 Brighton
Sep 19, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Mar 18, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Aug 20, 2022 Brighton 0-2 Port Vale
Dec 04, 2021 Brighton 1-2 Port Vale
Key Factors
Brighton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Port Vale struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.