Predictions Match Details
League One · Dec 26, 2024 15:00

Bolton
PWR 39
1 - 2
FT

Burnley
PWR 25
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Bolton to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-2 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Bolton Form LDWDL
STABLE
Burnley Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS56%
Under 2.546%
Bolton Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Burnley Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Bolton
vs
1.72
Burnley
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bolton
+11
Gap
#12
Burnley
WR 45% 263 pts WR 36% 101 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bolton166744151235201263
Burnley77281732117128101
Bolton 8.0%
Dec 21 Bolton v Exeter … 1-2
Dec 20 Bolton v Wycombe 0-0
Dec 20 Bolton v Derby 2-1
Dec 20 Bolton v Wycombe 0-0
Dec 14 Bolton v Blackbu… 2-0
Dec 14 Bolton v Wigan 0-2
Dec 14 Bolton v Leyton … 0-0
Dec 14 Bolton v Wigan 0-2
Dec 10 Bolton v Stoke C… 2-1
Dec 10 Bolton v Hudders… 3-1
Burnley 12.0%
Dec 21 Burnley v Watford 2-1
Dec 21 Burnley v Leyton … 0-4
Dec 21 Burnley v Morecam… 0-2
Dec 21 Burnley v Leyton … 0-4
Dec 15 Burnley v Norwich… 1-2
Dec 14 Burnley v Exeter … 1-2
Dec 14 Burnley v Exeter … 1-2
Dec 14 Burnley v Port Va… 0-0
Dec 10 Burnley v Derby 0-0
Dec 07 Burnley v Accring… 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 21, 2024 Bolton 1-2 Burnley
Aug 12, 2024 Bolton 1-4 Burnley
May 07, 2024 Bolton 2-3 Burnley
May 03, 2024 Burnley 1-3 Bolton
Apr 01, 2024 Bolton 1-3 Burnley
Mar 05, 2024 Burnley 2-2 Bolton
Mar 05, 2024 Burnley 2-2 Bolton
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1-1 Burnley
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1-1 Burnley
Jan 12, 2024 Burnley 1-1 Bolton
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.