Brasiliense · Mar 12, 2023 18:30
Ceilândia
PWR 35
Capital Brasilia
PWR 35
Ceilândia
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Capital Brasilia
PWR 35
73% H
19% D
8% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ceilândia to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ceilândia Form
W
STABLE
Capital Brasil… Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS40%
Under 2.563%
Ceilândia Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Capital Bra… Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Ceilândiavs
0.74
Capital Brasil…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Ceilândia+2
Gap#4
Capital Bra…
WR 50% 11 pts
WR 67% 8 pts
Ceilândia
20.0%
| Mar 23 | Ceilând… v Capital… | 2-1 |
Capital Brasil…
2.0%
| Feb 17 | Capital… v Paranoá | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Capital… v Real FC | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Capital… v Samamba… | 1-2 |
| Mar 23 | Capital… v Ceilând… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Capital… v Uberlân… | 0-2 |
| Jan 26 | Capital… v Paranoá | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Capital… v Samamba… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Capital… v Real FC | 3-0 |
| Aug 16 | Capital… v Real FC | 1-0 |
| Aug 12 | Capital… v Real FC | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 23, 2022 | Ceilândia | 2-1 | Capital Brasi… |
Key Factors
Capital Brasilia struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.