Super Cup · Jul 13, 2024 17:30

Zenit Saint Petersburg
PWR 76
4 - 2
FT

Krasnodar
PWR 17
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Zenit Saint Petersburg to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
3-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (41%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (5%) 0-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense30
Goals/G4.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack35
Defense13
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.5
Zenit Saint Pe… Form WWWDL
UP
Krasnodar Form WWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.56%
BTTS12%
Under 2.594%
Zenit Saint… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Krasnodar Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Zenit Saint Pe…
vs
0.38
Krasnodar
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Zenit Saint…
+2
Gap
#3
Krasnodar
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 0 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Zenit Saint Pet…1100423
Krasnodar2002250
Zenit Saint Pe… 14.0%
Jun 02 Zenit S… v Bastia 1-2
May 25 Zenit S… v FC Porto 2-1
May 19 Zenit S… v Akhmat … 1-5
May 15 Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… 0-0
May 11 Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… 0-1
May 06 Zenit S… v Fakel V… 1-1
May 02 Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… 1-1
Apr 28 Zenit S… v Dinamo … 1-0
Apr 24 Zenit S… v Rubin 0-2
Apr 17 Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… 0-0
Krasnodar 10.0%
May 25 Krasnod… v Dinamo … 1-0
May 18 Krasnod… v PFC Soc… 2-3
May 11 Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… 1-0
May 04 Krasnod… v Akhmat … 0-1
Apr 29 Krasnod… v Krylya … 0-0
Apr 24 Krasnod… v Bastia 3-2
Apr 13 Krasnod… v Zenit S… 1-2
Mar 12 Krasnod… v Khimki 2-0
Dec 10 Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… 1-0
Dec 03 Krasnod… v Orenburg 2-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 13, 2024 Krasnodar 1-2 Zenit Saint P…
Nov 11, 2023 Zenit Saint P… 1-1 Krasnodar
May 13, 2023 Zenit Saint P… 2-2 Krasnodar
Oct 30, 2022 Krasnodar 0-1 Zenit Saint P…
Apr 25, 2022 Krasnodar 1-3 Zenit Saint P…
Key Factors
Zenit Saint Petersburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.