Super Cup · Jul 13, 2024 17:30

Zenit Saint Petersburg
PWR 76

Krasnodar
PWR 17

Zenit Saint Petersburg
PWR 76
4 - 2
FT

Krasnodar
PWR 17
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Zenit Saint Petersburg to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
3-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (41%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (8%)
2-0 (5%)
0-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense30
Goals/G4.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack35
Defense13
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.5
Zenit Saint Pe… Form
WWWDL
UP
Krasnodar Form
WWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.56%
BTTS12%
Under 2.594%
Zenit Saint… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Krasnodar Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Zenit Saint Pe…vs
0.38
KrasnodarDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Zenit Saint…+2
Gap#3
Krasnodar
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Saint Pet… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Krasnodar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Zenit Saint Pe…
14.0%
| Jun 02 | Zenit S… v Bastia | 1-2 |
| May 25 | Zenit S… v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| May 19 | Zenit S… v Akhmat … | 1-5 |
| May 15 | Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… | 0-0 |
| May 11 | Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… | 0-1 |
| May 06 | Zenit S… v Fakel V… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Zenit S… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Zenit S… v Rubin | 0-2 |
| Apr 17 | Zenit S… v CSKA Mo… | 0-0 |
Krasnodar
10.0%
| May 25 | Krasnod… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| May 18 | Krasnod… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| May 11 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Krasnod… v Akhmat … | 0-1 |
| Apr 29 | Krasnod… v Krylya … | 0-0 |
| Apr 24 | Krasnod… v Bastia | 3-2 |
| Apr 13 | Krasnod… v Zenit S… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Krasnod… v Khimki | 2-0 |
| Dec 10 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 1-0 |
| Dec 03 | Krasnod… v Orenburg | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 13, 2024 | Krasnodar | 1-2 | Zenit Saint P… |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Zenit Saint P… | 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| May 13, 2023 | Zenit Saint P… | 2-2 | Krasnodar |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Krasnodar | 0-1 | Zenit Saint P… |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Krasnodar | 1-3 | Zenit Saint P… |
Key Factors
Zenit Saint Petersburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.