AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Süper Lig Mar 08, 2026

Fenerbahce

Home
VS
18:00

Samsunspor

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Fenerbahce Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Samsunspor Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.73 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.1 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Fenerbahce Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Fenerbahce vs Erzurum BB 3-1
Feb 02 Fenerbahce vs Kocaelisp… 0-2
Jan 29 Fenerbahce vs FCSB 0-0
Jan 25 Fenerbahce vs Goztepe 1-1
Jan 22 Fenerbahce vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Jan 18 Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor 2-3
Jan 14 Fenerbahce vs Halide Ed… 0-1
Jan 10 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 0-2
Jan 06 Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor 2-0
Dec 23 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 1-2
Samsunspor Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Samsunspor vs BB Bodrum… 2-0
Jan 30 Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa 0-1
Jan 24 Samsunspor vs Kocaelisp… 0-0
Jan 18 Samsunspor vs Genclerbi… 1-1
Jan 14 Samsunspor vs Aliağa FAŞ 2-6
Jan 06 Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce 2-0
Dec 24 Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor 2-1
Dec 21 Samsunspor vs Goztepe 2-0
Dec 14 Samsunspor vs İstanbul … 0-2
Dec 11 Samsunspor vs AEK Athen… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Samsunspor in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 06, 2026 Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Samsunspor Super Cup
Oct 05, 2025 Samsunspor 0 - 0 Fenerbahce Süper Lig
Mar 16, 2025 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Samsunspor Süper Lig
Oct 20, 2024 Samsunspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce Süper Lig
Jan 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Samsunspor Süper Lig
Aug 21, 2023 Samsunspor 0 - 2 Fenerbahce Süper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fenerbahce to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fenerbahce Power 0
Samsunspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Fenerbahce Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Samsunspor Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.