Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Feb 07, 2026 20:00

Progreso
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT

Central Espanol
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (25%) 0-1 (23%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Progreso Form LDLDD
STABLE
Central Espanol Form DDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS22%
Under 2.584%
Progreso Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Central Esp… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Progreso
vs
0.93
Central Espanol
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings30%
Market54%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Progreso
-15
Gap
#1
Central Esp…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 100% 3 pts
Progreso 6.0%
Jan 29 Progreso v Boston … 1-2
Jan 22 Progreso v Club Na… 1-1
Jan 19 Progreso v Juventud 0-1
Jan 12 Progreso v Defenso… 0-0
Nov 09 Progreso v Juventud 1-1
Nov 01 Progreso v Atletic… 0-5
Oct 26 Progreso v Peñarol… 3-1
Oct 19 Progreso v Defenso… 2-3
Oct 10 Progreso v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 05 Progreso v Cerrito 2-0
Central Espanol 14.0%
Jan 20 Central… v Univers… 0-0
Jan 13 Central… v Peñarol… 0-0
Oct 26 Central… v Albion … 0-0
Oct 18 Central… v Fenix 2-1
Oct 11 Central… v Rampla … 0-1
Oct 06 Central… v Atenas 0-1
Oct 02 Central… v Defenso… 2-0
Sep 27 Central… v Artigas 1-2
Sep 20 Central… v Tacuare… 0-0
Sep 13 Central… v Rentist… 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Sep 25, 2022 Central Espan… 1-1 Progreso
Jun 25, 2022 Progreso 1-1 Central Espan…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.