AI Match Insights

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Primera División - Apertura Feb 07, 2026

Peñarol Montevideo

Home
VS
23:30

Atletico Torque

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Peñarol Montevideo Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Atletico Torque Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.35 - 0.70
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Atletico Torque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (35%) 0-1 (24%) 1-0 (12%) 1-1 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Peñarol Montevideo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Peñarol M… vs Club Naci… 0-0
Jan 23 Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… 2-2
Jan 22 Peñarol M… vs Colo-Colo 1-1
Jan 20 Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… 1-0
Jan 18 Peñarol M… vs River Pla… 0-0
Jan 18 Peñarol M… vs River Pla… 0-0
Jan 13 Peñarol M… vs Central E… 0-0
Nov 16 Peñarol M… vs Liverpool… 1-2
Nov 09 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 0-2
Nov 02 Peñarol M… vs Defensor … 2-1
Atletico Torque Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Atletico … vs Concepción 2-0
Jan 14 Atletico … vs Cerro Lar… 2-3
Nov 09 Atletico … vs Peñarol M… 0-2
Nov 01 Atletico … vs Progreso 0-5
Oct 24 Atletico … vs Defensor … 0-1
Oct 18 Atletico … vs Cerrito 1-2
Oct 12 Atletico … vs Rangers FC 2-2
Sep 28 Atletico … vs Danubio 2-0
Sep 20 Atletico … vs Cerro Lar… 1-0
Sep 14 Atletico … vs Juventud 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atletico Torque in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 09, 2025 Atletico Torque 0 - 2 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Sep 07, 2025 Atletico Torque 1 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
May 17, 2025 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Apr 17, 2024 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 3 Atletico Torque Copa Uruguay
Oct 18, 2023 Atletico Torque 2 - 3 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Jul 03, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 0 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Mar 12, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 2 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Sep 24, 2022 Peñarol Montevideo 0 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Jun 12, 2022 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 2 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Apr 23, 2022 Atletico Torque 0 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Peñarol Montevideo to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Peñarol Montevideo Power 0
Atletico Torque Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.