AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Mar 06, 2026

Mictlán

Home
VS
00:00

Aurora

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Mictlán Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Aurora Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.48 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mictlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Mictlán Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Mictlán vs Achuapa 0-1
Jan 30 Mictlán vs Malacatec… 2-0
Jan 25 Mictlán vs Guastatoya 0-0
Jan 22 Mictlán vs Municipal 1-2
Dec 11 Mictlán vs Municipal 2-0
Dec 06 Mictlán vs Municipal 0-1
Nov 30 Mictlán vs Cobán Imp… 0-0
Nov 22 Mictlán vs Aurora 4-0
Nov 16 Mictlán vs Achuapa 1-0
Nov 08 Mictlán vs Marquense 1-1
Aurora Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Jan 28 Aurora vs Guastatoya 2-2
Jan 25 Aurora vs Municipal 2-2
Jan 21 Aurora vs XelajĂş 4-0
Dec 18 Aurora vs Antigua G… 4-2
Dec 14 Aurora vs Antigua G… 0-1
Dec 10 Aurora vs Malacatec… 2-1
Dec 07 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Nov 30 Aurora vs Mixco 1-0
Nov 22 Aurora vs Mictlán 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mictlán struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Mictlán 4 - 0 Aurora Liga Nacional
Oct 22, 2025 Aurora 3 - 2 Mictlán Liga Nacional
May 25, 2025 Mictlán 2 - 2 Aurora Primera Divisi…
May 17, 2025 Aurora 2 - 0 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Mar 23, 2025 Mictlán 1 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Feb 12, 2025 Aurora 0 - 1 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Nov 24, 2024 Mictlán 2 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Nov 17, 2024 Aurora 4 - 3 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Oct 12, 2024 Aurora 0 - 1 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Aug 25, 2024 Mictlán 2 - 3 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mictlán Power 0
Aurora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Mictlán Position

-4

Position Gap

4

Aurora Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.