AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Oct 28, 2023

Cerezo Osaka

Home
VS
05:00

Gamba Osaka

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Cerezo Osaka Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Gamba Osaka Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.96 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Cerezo Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Gamba Osaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Cerezo Osaka Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 0-1
Jun 18 Cerezo Os… vs Gamba Osa… 0-1
May 28 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 2-0
May 03 Cerezo Os… vs Gamba Osa… 1-2
Mar 26 Cerezo Os… vs Gamba Osa… 1-1
Jul 16 Cerezo Os… vs Gamba Osa… 1-2
May 21 Cerezo Os… vs Gamba Osa… 3-1
Aug 21 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 3-1
Mar 13 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 1-4
Nov 29 Cerezo Os… vs Yokohama … 1-0
Gamba Osaka Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 18 Gamba Osa… vs Cerezo Os… 0-1
May 03 Gamba Osa… vs Cerezo Os… 1-2
Mar 26 Gamba Osa… vs Cerezo Os… 1-1
Jul 16 Gamba Osa… vs Cerezo Os… 1-2
May 21 Gamba Osa… vs Cerezo Os… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cerezo Osaka in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Gamba Osaka struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 18, 2023 Cerezo Osaka 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka J-League Cup
May 03, 2023 Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
Mar 26, 2023 Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka J-League Cup
Jul 16, 2022 Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka J1 League
May 21, 2022 Cerezo Osaka 3 - 1 Gamba Osaka J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cerezo Osaka Power 0
Gamba Osaka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Cerezo Osaka Position

-1

Position Gap

9

Gamba Osaka Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 26%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.