First League · Sep 21, 2024 17:00
Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ludogorets Raz… Form
WWWWL
UP
Lokomotiv Sofia Form
LWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS56%
Under 2.540%
Ludogorets … Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Lokomotiv S… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Ludogorets Raz…vs
1.00
Lokomotiv SofiaDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Ludogorets …+5
Gap#8
Lokomotiv S…
WR 56% 37 pts
WR 44% 26 pts
Ludogorets Raz…
16.0%
| Sep 18 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 0-1 |
| Aug 25 | Ludogor… v Beroe | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Ludogor… v Arda Ka… | 5-1 |
| May 26 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Ludogor… v Arda Ka… | 2-0 |
| Apr 03 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 5-1 |
| Mar 16 | Ludogor… v Lokomot… | 6-0 |
| Feb 26 | Ludogor… v Beroe | 0-2 |
| Nov 27 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 2-3 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
14.0%
| Sep 16 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 0-3 |
| Aug 04 | Lokomot… v Cherno … | 2-1 |
| Jul 29 | Lokomot… v Beroe | 0-0 |
| Jul 20 | Lokomot… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Jul 13 | Lokomot… v Montana | 1-0 |
| May 26 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| May 21 | Lokomot… v Beroe | 0-3 |
| Apr 21 | Lokomot… v Botev P… | 0-4 |
| Apr 20 | Lokomot… v Olimpik… | 2-2 |
| Apr 09 | Lokomot… v Beroe | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ludogorets Ra… | 6-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-3 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Ludogorets Ra… | 1-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Oct 01, 2022 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-0 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| Dec 05, 2021 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 2-4 | Ludogorets Ra… |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Ludogorets Ra… | 5-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
Key Factors
Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (4W in last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.