Première Division · Apr 05, 2025 17:00

Réal Bamako
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
US Bougouba
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Réal Bamako to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Réal Bamako Form LLWLD
DOWN
US Bougouba Form DLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS48%
Under 2.556%
Réal Bamako Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
US Bougouba Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Réal Bamako
vs
0.95
US Bougouba
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Réal Bamako
+7
Gap
#9
US Bougouba
WR 40% 24 pts WR 33% 14 pts
Réal Bamako 6.0%
Mar 16 Réal Ba… v Stade M… 0-3
Mar 09 Réal Ba… v USFAS B… 2-1
Feb 08 Réal Ba… v Afrique… 2-1
Feb 02 Réal Ba… v Djoliba… 3-0
Jan 30 Réal Ba… v Stade M… 1-1
Jan 10 Réal Ba… v Bakarid… 0-0
Jan 06 Réal Ba… v Bougouni 0-3
Dec 31 Réal Ba… v Diarra 3-3
Dec 14 Réal Ba… v US Boug… 1-0
Nov 24 Réal Ba… v USFAS B… 0-0
US Bougouba 8.0%
Mar 08 US Boug… v Binga 1-1
Mar 04 US Boug… v Stade M… 2-3
Feb 18 US Boug… v Bakarid… 3-1
Feb 01 US Boug… v Diarra 1-1
Jan 26 US Boug… v Djoliba… 0-3
Jan 11 US Boug… v USFAS B… 2-1
Dec 14 US Boug… v Réal Ba… 1-0
Nov 24 US Boug… v Binga 1-1
May 12 US Boug… v Réal Ba… 1-2
May 09 US Boug… v Stade M… 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Dec 14, 2024 US Bougouba 1-0 Réal Bamako
May 12, 2024 US Bougouba 1-2 Réal Bamako
Dec 28, 2023 Réal Bamako 2-1 US Bougouba
Jun 08, 2022 US Bougouba 0-1 Réal Bamako
Jan 21, 2022 Réal Bamako 0-2 US Bougouba
Key Factors
Réal Bamako struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.