AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Oct 25, 2023

Puerto Cabello

Home
VS
21:00

Caracas FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Puerto Cabello Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Caracas FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.44 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Puerto Cabello Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Puerto Cabello Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 2-1
Jul 09 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-1
May 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-1
Mar 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 0-1
Mar 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 1-0
Caracas FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 0-2
Jul 09 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-1
May 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-1
Apr 09 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 2-2
Mar 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 0-1
Oct 14 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-1
Oct 07 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-2
Jul 16 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 3-1
May 07 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Puerto Cabello in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 09, 2023 Caracas FC 2 - 1 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
May 08, 2023 Puerto Cabello 2 - 1 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Mar 08, 2023 Caracas FC 0 - 1 Puerto Cabello CONMEBOL Sudam…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Puerto Cabello Power 0
Caracas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Puerto Cabello Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Caracas FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.