AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano Mar 03, 2024

Atlético Cajazeirense

Home
VS
19:00

Sousa

Away
AI Predictions 40.4% Confidence
Atlético Cajazeirense Win
32.0%
Draw
27.6%
Sousa Win
40.4%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 40%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 1.03
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Cajazeirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Sousa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (26%) 0-2 (14%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 0-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Atlético Cajazeirense Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Atlético … vs Sousa 0-0
Mar 13 Atlético … vs Sousa 0-2
May 09 Atlético … vs Sousa 0-1
Jul 28 Atlético … vs Sousa 1-1
Sousa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Sousa vs Treze 0-2
Jan 28 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 1-0
Apr 08 Sousa vs Treze 1-0
Apr 01 Sousa vs Treze 2-1
Mar 26 Sousa vs Botafogo 5-1
Mar 18 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-0
Feb 12 Sousa vs Treze 1-0
Jan 14 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 1-2
Jan 10 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-1
Apr 10 Sousa vs Treze 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sousa in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2022 Sousa 0 - 0 Atlético Cajazeiren… Paraibano
Mar 13, 2022 Atlético Cajazeiren… 0 - 2 Sousa Paraibano
May 09, 2021 Atlético Cajazeiren… 0 - 1 Sousa Paraibano
Jul 28, 2020 Sousa 1 - 1 Atlético Cajazeiren… Paraibano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Cajazeirense Power 0
Sousa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlético Cajazeirense Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Sousa Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.