AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 17, 2024

União São João

Home
VS
18:00

Bandeirante SP

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
União São João Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Bandeirante SP Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.49 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
União São João Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Bandeirante SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
União São João Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 União São… vs Rio Preto 0-1
Bandeirante SP Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Bandeiran… vs Marcílio … 1-1
Jan 28 Bandeiran… vs Desportiv… 0-0
Jan 20 Bandeiran… vs Marcílio … 2-0
Mar 16 Bandeiran… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Mar 09 Bandeiran… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
União São João Power 0
Bandeirante SP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

União São João Position

+2

Position Gap

14

Bandeirante SP Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.