AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Persian Gulf Pro League Dec 19, 2022

ZOB Ahan

Home
VS
12:30

Aluminium Arak

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
ZOB Ahan Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Aluminium Arak Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.80 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ZOB Ahan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Aluminium Arak Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
ZOB Ahan Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 ZOB Ahan vs Esteghlal… 0-1
Oct 01 ZOB Ahan vs Paykan 1-0
Aug 25 ZOB Ahan vs Mes Rafsa… 0-0
Aug 19 ZOB Ahan vs Tractor 1-1
May 19 ZOB Ahan vs Fajr Sepa… 0-1
May 14 ZOB Ahan vs Tractor 0-0
Mar 18 ZOB Ahan vs Mes Rafsa… 0-1
Mar 11 ZOB Ahan vs Aluminium… 4-0
Feb 18 ZOB Ahan vs Paykan 0-2
Feb 13 ZOB Ahan vs Esteghlal… 1-0
Aluminium Arak Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Aluminium… vs Malavan B… 1-0
Sep 10 Aluminium… vs Sepahan FC 0-0
Sep 05 Aluminium… vs Tractor 0-2
Aug 26 Aluminium… vs Persepolis 0-1
Jun 02 Aluminium… vs Sepahan FC 1-1
May 09 Aluminium… vs Gol Gohar 2-0
Apr 10 Aluminium… vs Persepolis 2-3
Apr 03 Aluminium… vs Fajr Sepa… 0-0
Mar 17 Aluminium… vs Tractor 1-0
Mar 11 Aluminium… vs ZOB Ahan 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2022 ZOB Ahan 4 - 0 Aluminium Arak Persian Gulf P…
Nov 30, 2021 Aluminium Arak 0 - 0 ZOB Ahan Persian Gulf P…
Jun 25, 2021 ZOB Ahan 1 - 1 Aluminium Arak Persian Gulf P…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ZOB Ahan Power 0
Aluminium Arak Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

ZOB Ahan Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Aluminium Arak Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.