AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 01, 2025

Municipal

Home
VS
21:00

Malacateco FC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Municipal Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Malacateco FC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.48 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Municipal Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Municipal vs Antigua G… 2-1
Jan 27 Municipal vs XelajĂş 1-1
Jan 22 Municipal vs Achuapa 2-1
Dec 01 Municipal vs Antigua G… 2-2
Nov 29 Municipal vs Antigua G… 0-0
Nov 24 Municipal vs Achuapa 1-1
Nov 10 Municipal vs XelajĂş 1-1
Nov 02 Municipal vs Marquense 2-0
Oct 27 Municipal vs Malacatec… 4-0
Oct 24 Municipal vs Guastatoya 1-2
Malacateco FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 0-0
Jan 18 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 1-0
Nov 24 Malacatec… vs Marquense 4-0
Nov 09 Malacatec… vs Mixco 2-0
Oct 27 Malacatec… vs Municipal 4-0
Oct 20 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 0-2
Sep 21 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 1-0
Sep 15 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 3-1
Sep 01 Malacatec… vs Marquense 2-2
Aug 24 Malacatec… vs Mixco 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Malacateco FC 4 - 0 Municipal Liga Nacional
Aug 11, 2024 Municipal 0 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Apr 28, 2024 Municipal 4 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Apr 26, 2024 Malacateco FC 3 - 2 Municipal Liga Nacional
Apr 10, 2024 Municipal 3 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Municipal to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Municipal Power 0
Malacateco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Municipal Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Malacateco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.