AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Jan 26, 2025

HNK Hajduk Split

Home
VS
16:30

NK Slaven Belupo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
HNK Hajduk Split Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
NK Slaven Belupo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 3.04 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
HNK Hajduk Split Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 HNK Hajdu… vs Real Murc… 1-0
Dec 15 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 2-2
Dec 07 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Dec 01 HNK Hajdu… vs Dinamo Za… 1-0
Nov 09 HNK Hajdu… vs Istra 1961 1-1
Nov 03 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Varažd… 1-0
Oct 26 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Lokomo… 2-1
Oct 20 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Slaven… 0-2
Sep 29 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 0-0
Sep 21 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 4-1
NK Slaven Belupo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 NK Slaven… vs NK Varažd… 1-0
Dec 22 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 2-0
Dec 13 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 2-1
Dec 06 NK Slaven… vs Dinamo Za… 1-1
Nov 22 NK Slaven… vs Istra 1961 2-3
Nov 10 NK Slaven… vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Oct 20 NK Slaven… vs HNK Hajdu… 0-2
Oct 05 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 0-0
Sep 30 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 2-1
Sep 21 NK Slaven… vs Dinamo Za… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 2 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Aug 04, 2024 HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 1 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Apr 20, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Feb 11, 2024 HNK Hajduk Split 4 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Oct 27, 2023 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Aug 13, 2023 HNK Hajduk Split 3 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: HNK Hajduk Split to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Hajduk Split Power 0
NK Slaven Belupo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

HNK Hajduk Split Position

+4

Position Gap

6

NK Slaven Belupo Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.