Tocantinense · Feb 04, 2024 19:00
Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
Araguaína
PWR 46
Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
0 - 1
FT
Araguaína
PWR 46
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tocantinópolis to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense76
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Tocantinópolis Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Araguaína Form
L
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS50%
Under 2.548%
Tocantinópo… Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Araguaína Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Tocantinópolisvs
0.88
AraguaínaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Tocantinópo…+4
Gap#6
Araguaína
WR 37% 27 pts
WR 31% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocantinópolis | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| Araguaína | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
Tocantinópolis
12.0%
| Mar 05 | Tocanti… v Bela Vi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Tocanti… v União C… | 1-2 |
| Mar 20 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Tocanti… v Bela Vi… | 3-1 |
Araguaína
0.0%
| Jan 30 | Araguaí… v Capital | 1-2 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.