AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Ligue 2 Mar 13, 2021

Estac Troyes

Home

19:00

Nancy

Away

AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence

Estac Troyes Win

69.0%

Draw

20.2%

Nancy Win

10.8%

Home Win (69% confidence)

Predicted Score: 2-1

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 80%

Standings 91%

Market 50%

Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 21%

xG: 2.07 - 1.04

Key Insights

xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.0 Position gap: 14 places

Score Prediction Analysis

Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

13%

1 goals:

26%

2 goals:

27%

3 goals:

19%

4 goals:

10%

Nancy Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

35%

1 goals:

37%

2 goals:

19%

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Under 2.5 Goals 42%

Estac Troyes Form 16.0%

Date	Match	Result
Feb 13	Estac Tro… vs Rodez	2-1
Dec 15	Estac Tro… vs Nancy	2-3
Dec 01	Estac Tro… vs Guingamp	1-2
Oct 17	Estac Tro… vs Rodez	0-1
Jul 09	Estac Tro… vs Reims	3-1

Nancy Form 0.0%

Date	Match	Result
Dec 15	Nancy vs Estac Tro…	2-3

Key Analysis Factors

Estac Troyes in strong form (4W in last 5) Home

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches

Date	Home Team	Score	Away Team	League
Dec 15, 2020	Nancy	2 - 3	Estac Troyes	Ligue 2

Final Verdict

ELITE: Estac Troyes to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier

Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence

Rules Passed

POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME

Key Factors

Power: 42 vs 0

Estac Troyes Power 42

Nancy Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

1

Estac Troyes Position

+14

Position Gap

15

Nancy Position

Home Win Rate: 75%

Away Win Rate: 27%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.