Predictions Match Details
League One · Oct 21, 2022 19:00

Ipswich
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT

Derby
PWR 37
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Ipswich to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack44
Defense63
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Ipswich Form WDDDD
STABLE
Derby Form WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS33%
Under 2.555%
Ipswich Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Derby Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Ipswich
vs
0.47
Derby
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#34
Ipswich
+10
Gap
#44
Derby
WR 36% 33 pts WR 33% 20 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Ipswich22895302133
Derby15555141120
Ipswich 12.0%
Oct 01 Ipswich v Portsmo… 3-2
Sep 17 Ipswich v Sheffie… 2-2
Jul 23 Ipswich v Millwall 1-1
Mar 19 Ipswich v Oxford … 1-1
Mar 12 Ipswich v Portsmo… 0-0
Jan 29 Ipswich v Sheffie… 1-0
Nov 13 Ipswich v Oxford … 0-0
Oct 19 Ipswich v Portsmo… 0-4
Sep 25 Ipswich v Sheffie… 1-1
Jul 31 Ipswich v Millwall 0-3
Derby 4.0%
Aug 23 Derby v West Br… 1-0
Aug 06 Derby v Charlton 1-0
Jul 23 Derby v Leicest… 1-3
Apr 23 Derby v Bristol… 1-3
Apr 09 Derby v Swansea 2-1
Apr 02 Derby v Preston 1-0
Feb 23 Derby v Millwall 1-2
Feb 12 Derby v Middles… 4-1
Jan 30 Derby v Birming… 2-2
Dec 27 Derby v West Br… 1-0
Key Factors
Derby struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.