Predictions Match Details
League One · Apr 01, 2023 14:00

Derby
PWR 37
0 - 2
FT

Ipswich
PWR 43
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Derby to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense63
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Attack51
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Derby Form WDDLW
STABLE
Ipswich Form DLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS45%
Under 2.554%
Derby Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Ipswich Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Derby
vs
0.80
Ipswich
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#44
Derby
-10
Gap
#34
Ipswich
WR 33% 20 pts WR 36% 33 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Derby15555141120
Ipswich22895302133
Derby 12.0%
Feb 18 Derby v Charlton 2-0
Dec 03 Derby v Sheffie… 0-0
Nov 18 Derby v Portsmo… 0-0
Oct 21 Derby v Ipswich 1-0
Aug 23 Derby v West Br… 1-0
Aug 06 Derby v Charlton 1-0
Jul 23 Derby v Leicest… 1-3
Apr 23 Derby v Bristol… 1-3
Apr 09 Derby v Swansea 2-1
Apr 02 Derby v Preston 1-0
Ipswich 8.0%
Feb 11 Ipswich v Sheffie… 2-2
Jan 21 Ipswich v Oxford … 2-1
Dec 29 Ipswich v Portsmo… 2-2
Dec 26 Ipswich v Oxford … 3-0
Nov 22 Ipswich v Portsmo… 0-2
Oct 21 Ipswich v Derby 1-0
Oct 01 Ipswich v Portsmo… 3-2
Sep 17 Ipswich v Sheffie… 2-2
Jul 23 Ipswich v Millwall 1-1
Mar 19 Ipswich v Oxford … 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 21, 2022 Ipswich 1-0 Derby
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.