Friendlies Clubs · Jul 23, 2022 14:00
Watford
PWR 36
Southampton
PWR 36
Watford
PWR 36
0 - 0
FT
Southampton
PWR 36
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Watford to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Watford Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Southampton Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS71%
Under 2.531%
Watford Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Southampton Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Watfordvs
1.68
SouthamptonDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#403
Watford+139
Gap#542
Southampton
WR 25% 5 pts
WR 17% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Southampton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Watford
8.0%
| Jul 13 | Watford v Rotherh… | 1-1 |
| May 15 | Watford v Leicest… | 1-5 |
| Apr 18 | Watford v Barrow | 2-2 |
| Apr 15 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Watford v Crawley… | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Watford v Southam… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Watford v Swindon | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Watford v Barrow | 0-2 |
| Jan 22 | Watford v Manches… | 0-3 |
| Jan 21 | Watford v Norwich… | 0-3 |
Southampton
8.0%
| Jul 19 | Southam… v Woking | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Southam… v Leicest… | 4-1 |
| Mar 13 | Southam… v Watford | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Southam… v Scuntho… | 4-1 |
| Feb 25 | Southam… v Norwich… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Southam… v Forest … | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Southam… v Coventry | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | Southam… v Leicest… | 2-2 |
| Nov 20 | Southam… v Norwich… | 2-1 |
| Oct 30 | Southam… v Watford | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 13, 2022 | Southampton | 1-2 | Watford |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Watford | 0-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Watford | 1-3 | Southampton |
Key Factors
Southampton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.