Championship · Dec 09, 2023 15:00

Watford
PWR 36

Southampton
PWR 36

Watford
PWR 36
1 - 1
FT

Southampton
PWR 36
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Watford to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
1-3 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Watford Form
WWWWD
UP
Southampton Form
WWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS82%
Under 2.522%
Watford Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Southampton Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Watfordvs
2.84
SouthamptonDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Watford+3
Gap#14
Southampton
WR 50% 44 pts
WR 25% 43 pts
Watford
18.0%
| Dec 02 | Watford v Hull Ci… | 1-2 |
| Dec 02 | Watford v Hull Ci… | 1-2 |
| Nov 28 | Watford v Norwich… | 3-2 |
| Nov 28 | Watford v Norwich… | 3-2 |
| Nov 28 | Watford v Stockpo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Watford v Leicest… | 2-0 |
| Nov 25 | Watford v Leicest… | 2-0 |
| Nov 25 | Watford v Milton … | 2-4 |
| Nov 25 | Watford v Milton … | 2-4 |
| Nov 18 | Watford v Birming… | 3-1 |
Southampton
14.0%
| Dec 02 | Southam… v Cardiff | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Southam… v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Southam… v Crewe | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Southam… v Hudders… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Southam… v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Nov 18 | Southam… v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Nov 11 | Southam… v West Br… | 2-1 |
| Nov 04 | Southam… v Millwall | 0-1 |
| Oct 28 | Southam… v Birming… | 3-1 |
| Oct 21 | Southam… v Hull Ci… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jul 23, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Southampton |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Southampton | 1-2 | Watford |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Watford | 0-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Watford | 1-3 | Southampton |
Key Factors
Watford in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.