FA Cup · Jan 28, 2024 14:00
Watford
PWR 36
Southampton
PWR 36
Watford
PWR 36
1 - 1
FT
Southampton
PWR 36
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Watford to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Watford Form
WDDDW
STABLE
Southampton Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS44%
Under 2.559%
Watford Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Southampton Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Watfordvs
0.83
SouthamptonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Watford+4
Gap#21
Southampton
WR 30% 11 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 11 |
| Southampton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
Watford
14.0%
| Jan 27 | Watford v Crewe | 2-3 |
| Jan 23 | Watford v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Watford v QPR | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Watford v Crawley… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | Watford v Crawley… | 0-1 |
| Jan 06 | Watford v Forest … | 2-2 |
| Jan 06 | Watford v Chester… | 2-1 |
| Jan 01 | Watford v Accring… | 3-0 |
Southampton
14.0%
| Jan 27 | Southam… v Walsall | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Southam… v Mansfie… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Southam… v Swansea | 1-3 |
| Jan 13 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 13 | Southam… v Barrow | 2-2 |
| Jan 01 | Southam… v Newport… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Southam… v Norwich… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Southam… v Norwich… | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Southam… v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Southam… v Plymouth | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Southampton |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Southampton | 1-2 | Watford |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Watford | 0-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Watford | 1-3 | Southampton |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.