Championship · Apr 13, 2024 14:00
Southampton
PWR 36
Watford
PWR 36
Southampton
PWR 36
3 - 2
FT
Watford
PWR 36
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Southampton Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Watford Form
DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS48%
Under 2.548%
Southampton Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Watford Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Southamptonvs
0.81
WatfordDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Southampton-3
Gap#11
Watford
WR 47% 43 pts
WR 20% 44 pts
Southampton
10.0%
| Apr 09 | Southam… v Coventry | 2-1 |
| Apr 09 | Southam… v Coventry | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Southam… v Blackbu… | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Southam… v Stockpo… | 1-3 |
| Apr 01 | Southam… v Ipswich | 3-2 |
| Apr 01 | Southam… v Swindon | 3-1 |
| Mar 29 | Southam… v Middles… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Southam… v Middles… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Southam… v Watford | 1-2 |
| Mar 23 | Southam… v Accring… | 3-1 |
Watford
8.0%
| Apr 10 | Watford v Ipswich | 0-0 |
| Apr 10 | Watford v Ipswich | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Watford v Preston | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Watford v Preston | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Watford v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| Apr 01 | Watford v West Br… | 2-2 |
| Apr 01 | Watford v Walsall | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Watford v Leeds | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Watford v Southam… | 1-2 |
| Mar 23 | Watford v Newport… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 29, 2024 | Watford | 1-2 | Southampton |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Southampton | 3-0 | Watford |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Southampton |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Southampton | 1-2 | Watford |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Watford | 0-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Watford | 1-3 | Southampton |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.