Ligue 1 · Dec 20, 2023 20:00

Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
4 - 0
FT

Lorient
PWR 33
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Stade Brestois 29 to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Stade Brestois… Form DLDDW
STABLE
Lorient Form LLLDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS51%
Under 2.548%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Lorient Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Stade Brestois…
vs
0.94
Lorient
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Stade Brest…
-2
Gap
#10
Lorient
WR 46% 26 pts WR 18% 28 pts
Stade Brestois… 10.0%
Dec 07 Stade B… v Strasbo… 1-1
Nov 05 Stade B… v Monaco 2-0
Oct 08 Stade B… v Toulouse 1-1
Oct 01 Stade B… v Nice 0-0
Sep 23 Stade B… v Lyon 1-0
Sep 02 Stade B… v Rennes … 0-0
Jul 26 Stade B… v Rennes … 0-1
Jun 03 Stade B… v Rennes … 1-2
May 14 Stade B… v Auxerre 1-0
May 07 Stade B… v Lorient 2-1
Lorient 4.0%
Dec 17 Lorient v Strasbo… 1-2
Dec 17 Lorient v Strasbo… 1-2
Dec 10 Lorient v Marseil… 2-4
Dec 03 Lorient v Toulouse 1-1
Dec 03 Lorient v Toulouse 1-1
Nov 26 Lorient v Metz 2-3
Nov 26 Lorient v Metz 2-3
Oct 22 Lorient v Rennes … 2-1
Oct 08 Lorient v Lyon 3-3
Sep 23 Lorient v Nantes 5-3
Head-to-Head (4)
May 07, 2023 Lorient 2-1 Stade Brestoi…
Oct 09, 2022 Stade Brestoi… 1-2 Lorient
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestoi… 1-0 Lorient
Feb 27, 2022 Stade Brestoi… 0-1 Lorient
Key Factors
Lorient struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.