Ligue 1 · Dec 20, 2023 20:00

Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31

Lorient
PWR 33

Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
4 - 0
FT

Lorient
PWR 33
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Stade Brestois 29 to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (6%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Stade Brestois… Form
DLDDW
STABLE
Lorient Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS51%
Under 2.548%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Lorient Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Stade Brestois…vs
0.94
LorientDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Stade Brest…-2
Gap#10
Lorient
WR 46% 26 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Stade Brestois…
10.0%
| Dec 07 | Stade B… v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Stade B… v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Oct 08 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Oct 01 | Stade B… v Nice | 0-0 |
| Sep 23 | Stade B… v Lyon | 1-0 |
| Sep 02 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 0-0 |
| Jul 26 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 0-1 |
| Jun 03 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 1-2 |
| May 14 | Stade B… v Auxerre | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Stade B… v Lorient | 2-1 |
Lorient
4.0%
| Dec 17 | Lorient v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Lorient v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Lorient v Marseil… | 2-4 |
| Dec 03 | Lorient v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Lorient v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Lorient v Metz | 2-3 |
| Nov 26 | Lorient v Metz | 2-3 |
| Oct 22 | Lorient v Rennes … | 2-1 |
| Oct 08 | Lorient v Lyon | 3-3 |
| Sep 23 | Lorient v Nantes | 5-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 07, 2023 | Lorient | 2-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Oct 09, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-2 | Lorient |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Lorient |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Stade Brestoi… | 0-1 | Lorient |
Key Factors
Lorient struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.