Primeira Liga · Sep 18, 2022 14:30
Arouca
PWR 35
Guimaraes
PWR 35
Arouca
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Guimaraes
PWR 35
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Arouca to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arouca Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Guimaraes Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS24%
Under 2.569%
Arouca Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Guimaraes Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Aroucavs
0.36
GuimaraesDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Arouca-3
Gap#9
Guimaraes
WR 20% 20 pts
WR 33% 28 pts
Arouca
16.0%
| Aug 20 | Arouca v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Arouca v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Apr 02 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Arouca v Tondela | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Arouca v Sportin… | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Arouca v Guimara… | 1-3 |
| Dec 05 | Arouca v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Nov 05 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Arouca v Tondela | 2-0 |
Guimaraes
4.0%
| Sep 04 | Guimara… v Paredes | 0-1 |
| Sep 03 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Aug 29 | Guimara… v Casa Pi… | 0-1 |
| Aug 27 | Guimara… v Sanjoan… | 3-1 |
| Aug 14 | Guimara… v Estoril | 1-0 |
| May 15 | Guimara… v GIL Vic… | 5-0 |
| Apr 03 | Guimara… v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Guimara… v Sportin… | 1-3 |
| Feb 19 | Guimara… v Arouca | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | Guimara… v Fafe | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 19, 2022 | Guimaraes | 1-3 | Arouca |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Arouca | 2-2 | Guimaraes |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Arouca | 0-0 | Guimaraes |
Key Factors
Arouca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Guimaraes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.