Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Jan 15, 2024 20:15

Guimaraes
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Arouca
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Guimaraes to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guimaraes Form WDDWW
STABLE
Arouca Form LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS58%
Under 2.546%
Guimaraes Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Arouca Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Guimaraes
vs
1.45
Arouca
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Guimaraes
+3
Gap
#12
Arouca
WR 46% 28 pts WR 30% 20 pts
Guimaraes 16.0%
Jan 11 Guimara… v Penafie… 1-0
Jan 06 Guimara… v SC Braga 1-1
Jan 06 Guimara… v SC Braga 1-1
Dec 23 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 1-0
Dec 23 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 1-0
Dec 16 Guimara… v Boavista 1-1
Dec 09 Guimara… v Sportin… 3-2
Dec 09 Guimara… v Sp Lisb… 3-2
Dec 02 Guimara… v Farense 1-2
Nov 25 Guimara… v Länk FC… 4-1
Arouca 12.0%
Jan 10 Arouca v Vizela 1-0
Jan 06 Arouca v Benfica 0-3
Dec 28 Arouca v Estrela… 1-4
Dec 28 Arouca v Estrela… 1-4
Dec 16 Arouca v GIL Vic… 3-0
Dec 16 Arouca v GIL Vic… 3-0
Dec 10 Arouca v Rio Ave… 2-2
Dec 10 Arouca v Rio Ave… 2-2
Dec 03 Arouca v Boavista 0-4
Nov 26 Arouca v Boavista 2-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Mar 11, 2023 Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Nov 21, 2020 Arouca 0-0 Guimaraes
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5)
Arouca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.