Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Aug 12, 2024 19:15

Arouca
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Guimaraes
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arouca Form LLLLL
DOWN
Guimaraes Form WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS40%
Under 2.567%
Arouca Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Guimaraes Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Arouca
vs
1.16
Guimaraes
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Arouca
-3
Gap
#9
Guimaraes
WR 20% 20 pts WR 33% 28 pts
Arouca 0.0%
Jul 20 Arouca v Rio Ave… 3-2
May 18 Arouca v Guimara… 1-3
May 18 Arouca v Guimara… 1-3
May 12 Arouca v Benfica 5-0
May 12 Arouca v Benfica 5-0
May 05 Arouca v Estrela… 0-0
May 05 Arouca v Estrela… 0-0
Apr 26 Arouca v GIL Vic… 2-2
Apr 26 Arouca v GIL Vic… 2-2
Apr 19 Arouca v Rio Ave… 1-1
Guimaraes 8.0%
May 18 Guimara… v Arouca 1-3
May 18 Guimara… v Arouca 1-3
May 11 Guimara… v SC Braga 2-3
May 11 Guimara… v SC Braga 2-3
May 04 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 2-1
May 04 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 2-1
Apr 27 Guimara… v Boavista 1-0
Apr 27 Guimara… v Boavista 1-0
Apr 21 Guimara… v Sp Lisb… 3-0
Apr 21 Guimara… v Sportin… 3-0
Head-to-Head (9)
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Mar 11, 2023 Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Nov 21, 2020 Arouca 0-0 Guimaraes
Key Factors
Arouca struggling (5L in last 5)
Guimaraes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.