Primeira Liga · Apr 08, 2022 19:15
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Moreirense
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
GIL Vicente Form
LDWWL
STABLE
Moreirense Form
LWLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS36%
Under 2.539%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Moreirense Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.58
GIL Vicentevs
0.46
MoreirenseDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
GIL Vicente+2
Gap#6
Moreirense
WR 60% 37 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
GIL Vicente
10.0%
| Apr 02 | GIL Vic… v Arouca | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | GIL Vic… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | GIL Vic… v Guimara… | 3-2 |
| Dec 28 | GIL Vic… v Tondela | 0-3 |
| Dec 18 | GIL Vic… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Dec 05 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 4-0 |
| Nov 26 | GIL Vic… v Moreire… | 2-2 |
| Nov 05 | GIL Vic… v Arouca | 1-1 |
| Sep 24 | GIL Vic… v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Jul 24 | GIL Vic… v Tondela | 0-1 |
Moreirense
10.0%
| Apr 03 | Moreire… v Guimara… | 0-1 |
| Apr 02 | Moreire… v Académi… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Moreire… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Moreire… v Lusitân… | 4-4 |
| Feb 18 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Moreire… v Famalic… | 5-0 |
| Jan 22 | Moreire… v Santa C… | 0-2 |
| Jan 15 | Moreire… v Benfica | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Moreire… v Tondela | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 26, 2021 | Moreirense | 2-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 11, 2021 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Dec 05, 2020 | Moreirense | 1-1 | GIL Vicente |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.