Primeira Liga · Nov 08, 2024 20:15
Moreirense
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Moreirense Form
LLLWL
DOWN
GIL Vicente Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS29%
Under 2.568%
Moreirense Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Moreirensevs
0.46
GIL VicenteDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Moreirense-2
Gap#4
GIL Vicente
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 36% 37 pts
Moreirense
4.0%
| Nov 03 | Moreireā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Moreireā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | Moreireā¦ v FC Porto | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Moreireā¦ v Boavista | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Moreireā¦ v Chaves | 0-3 |
| Oct 26 | Moreireā¦ v Portimoā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Moreireā¦ v O Elvas | 3-2 |
| Oct 05 | Moreireā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Moreireā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | Moreireā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-0 |
GIL Vicente
4.0%
| Nov 02 | GIL Vicā¦ v Boavista | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | GIL Vicā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | GIL Vicā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | GIL Vicā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 3-0 |
| Sep 28 | GIL Vicā¦ v Benfica | 5-1 |
| Sep 22 | GIL Vicā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | GIL Vicā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | GIL Vicā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | GIL Vicā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 01 | GIL Vicā¦ v SC Braga | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Apr 20, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 08, 2022 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Moreirense | 2-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 11, 2021 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Dec 05, 2020 | Moreirense | 1-1 | GIL Vicente |
Key Factors
Moreirense struggling (4L in last 5)
GIL Vicente struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.