Liga de Expansión MX · Feb 09, 2022 23:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Venados FC
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (20%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alebrijes de O… Form DWWDL
STABLE
Venados FC Form LWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS14%
Under 2.578%
Alebrijes d… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Venados FC Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Alebrijes de O…
vs
0.20
Venados FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Alebrijes d…
-2
Gap
#9
Venados FC
WR 50% 5 pts WR 0% 5 pts
Alebrijes de O… 12.0%
Jan 29 Alebrij… v Monarcas 1-1
Jan 06 Alebrij… v Cancún 2-0
Nov 10 Alebrij… v Cancún 1-2
Oct 06 Alebrij… v Venados… 1-1
Sep 24 Alebrij… v Monarcas 1-0
Sep 14 Alebrij… v Mineros… 2-1
Apr 21 Alebrij… v Mineros… 6-0
Mar 24 Alebrij… v Cancún 0-0
Feb 06 Alebrij… v Venados… 2-2
Venados FC 8.0%
Jan 20 Venados… v Tapatío 1-0
Nov 18 Venados… v Tapatío 3-0
Oct 28 Venados… v Dorados 3-0
Oct 06 Venados… v Alebrij… 1-1
Apr 09 Venados… v Tapatío 1-1
Feb 21 Venados… v Dorados 0-0
Feb 06 Venados… v Alebrij… 2-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1-1 Alebrijes de …
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2-2 Alebrijes de …
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.